Daily Archives: June 20, 2005

Mainstream Peak Oil Film: The Deal

The DealToday I heard about a new film that was released in the States on the 17th June 2005. It sounded like a run of the mill corporate, political, espionage affair but it was about oil and there aren’t very many mainstream films about oil so I thought I’d investigate a little further.

The film is called The Deal with the strap line To The Victor Goes The Oil.

One point of note is that the film was written by a former vice president of Goldman, Sachs & Co. in collaboration with the former head of the Goldman Sachs Oil and Gas department. Again we are hearing from the old timers, okay I don’t know how old they are but it sounds like they are no longer in those high profile roles. Maybe through this film they are able to offer a glimpse into what really goes on behind the scenes of these major organisations.

The official blurb goes like this:

In the near future, as war rages in the Middle East and U.S. gas prices top six dollars a gallon, ambitious investment banker Tom Hanson (Christian Slater) finds himself at the center of a $20 billion takeover bid for a Russian oil company. It’s a deal some people would kill for – literally, as it turns out. As Tom and an idealistic young associate (Selma Blair) each separately uncover the truth about the transaction, they soon realize that there’s far more at stake than money and fossil fuel.

Things got interesting however when I clicked the After The Show link. Here they suggest that watching the film is only the start, things get interesting after the lights go up. The websites lists around a dozen questions to ask one another such these:

Who do you think is closer to telling the truth about our energy situation-the government or a film like this?
Do you believe that we are on the brink of an oil crisis?
How should we balance environmental concerns with economic ones?

There are also a list of facts presented such as:

Oil production is already falling in 33 of the world’s 48 largest oil producing countries, including 6 of the 11 members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).
World demand for oil will likely exceed world supply of oil by 2010 (The Futurist, World Oil)
Drilling in Alaska would produce no oil for 10 years and will ultimately produce only 6 months worth of US oil consumption in total (US Geological Survey). It represents only 0.3% of the world’s oil supply, and will ultimately reduce our dependence on foreign oil by only 1-5%.

Their true colours really shine through with their book (how many film websites have book lists!) and website lists including:

Twilight in the Desert: The Coming Saudi Oil Shock and the World Economy – Matthew R. Simmons
High Noon for Natural Gas: The New Energy Crisis – Julian Darley
The End of Oil: On the Edge of a Perilous New World – Paul Roberts

www.lifeaftertheoilcrash.net
www.energybulletin.net
and even www.peakoil.com!

I haven’t seen the film yet, I don’t know if it’s any good. But it looks like we have a mainstream film, playing in hundreds if not thousands of theatres, based on peak oil. It scares me sometimes just how fast peak oil awareness is growing.

Living on the Cusp

Living on the CuspFrom Friday 17th to Sunday 19th June 2005 I attended the Living on the Cusp seminar at Braziers Park in Oxfordshire, UK. The seminar was presented by Naresh Giangrande and covered peak oil, non-renewable alternatives to oil, renewable alternatives to oil, energy return on energy invested (EROEI), carrying capacity, ecological footprint, ghost acreage, exponential growth, Jevons paradox, Easter Island, St Mathew Island, the Cuban case study and personal and community responses. Naresh also provided a CD with a collection of essays, articles and presentations on the topics. The film End of Suburbia, Oil Depletion and the Collapse of The American Dream was also shown on the Saturday evening.

The course material was at times necessarily quite technical and detailed however Naresh succeeded in communicating the above topics in a clear and down to earth manner and ensured everyone understood before moving on. It’s not that carrying capacity or ghost acreage are particularly complex subjects to grasp, they just need a different way of thinking about the world to fully appreciate.

Attendance waxed and waned somewhat as resident community members balanced other work and the demands of children but approximately 8 people were usually present. The format was very relaxed with every opportunity for discussion as the material was presented.

Whilst little of the material was new to me, I gained a lot through discussions with the others who were very receptive to the material. Of particular interest was the Sunday afternoon session where personal and community response was addressed. At this point I need to say something about the Braziers Park community. Braziers Park itself is a ~£4million 17th Century Grade II* listed building in approximately 50 acres of Oxfordshire countryside. Since 1950 it has been home to a secular community of ~20 people (though numbers vary and the community edge is understandably blurred).

I think it is fair to say it is an aspiration of the Braziers community to become self sufficient and ecologically sound though by their own admission they are far from there currently. The motivation for this is two fold, firstly it’s just a generally smart thing to do from both economic and moral points of view but secondly and perhaps more importantly is the credibility this would provide. The community has a history in education and has a strong desire to expand educational activities, running seminars (like Living on the Cusp) and training courses. The energy crisis we are approaching is expected to stimulate demand in ecology, self sufficiency and alternative technology teachings and if Braziers Park is to offer training in this area they need to be seen to be living what they preach.

The responses ranged from the easy wins like rain water collection and comprehensive replacement of incandescent with compact fluorescents bulbs through to more ambitious projects such as replacing the oil fired central heating system. Looking wider there also seemed to be agreement that Braziers could and should have more influence on the wider community, running an out-reach programme, recognising that the transition to a more sustainable way of life can not end at your own front door and needs to involve the whole community.

From what little I saw of the community over the weekend I believe they have incredible potential. Braziers is currently dealing with the same everyday challenges everyone else is whilst aspiring to something better, I am very pleased to see people starting to take peak oil seriously and hope a successful transformation can be an inspiration to others. I wish them every success over what could be difficult times ahead.
Braziers Park